Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000560 0.000641 0.000727 0.000825 0.000934 0.001050 0.001182
2025-07-20 0.000440 0.000553 0.000681 0.000837 0.001020 0.001228 0.001478
2025-07-27 0.000368 0.000493 0.000642 0.000830 0.001061 0.001331 0.001669
2025-08-03 0.000311 0.000441 0.000604 0.000818 0.001089 0.001416 0.001836
2025-08-10 0.000275 0.000411 0.000587 0.000827 0.001138 0.001524 0.002032
2025-08-17 0.000242 0.000381 0.000566 0.000826 0.001173 0.001613 0.002203
2025-08-24 0.000207 0.000342 0.000530 0.000801 0.001173 0.001654 0.002313
2025-08-31 0.000178 0.000309 0.000498 0.000778 0.001173 0.001694 0.002419
2025-09-07 0.000159 0.000289 0.000481 0.000775 0.001197 0.001765 0.002568
2025-09-14 0.000143 0.000271 0.000467 0.000774 0.001224 0.001839 0.002721
2025-09-21 0.000127 0.000252 0.000449 0.000764 0.001236 0.001892 0.002847
2025-09-28 0.000111 0.000232 0.000428 0.000749 0.001239 0.001932 0.002954
2025-10-05 0.000104 0.000226 0.000429 0.000768 0.001295 0.002048 0.003171
2025-10-12 0.000096 0.000217 0.000425 0.000780 0.001339 0.002149 0.003370
2025-10-19 0.000086 0.000204 0.000411 0.000774 0.001355 0.002209 0.003511
2025-10-26 0.000076 0.000189 0.000395 0.000762 0.001361 0.002254 0.003632
2025-11-02 0.000071 0.000182 0.000390 0.000770 0.001399 0.002347 0.003823
2025-11-09 0.000064 0.000173 0.000381 0.000769 0.001422 0.002418 0.003983
2025-11-16 0.000055 0.000157 0.000360 0.000746 0.001407 0.002429 0.004055
2025-11-23 0.000048 0.000144 0.000341 0.000724 0.001393 0.002443 0.004131
2025-11-30 0.000043 0.000136 0.000332 0.000722 0.001411 0.002505 0.004278
2025-12-07 0.000039 0.000129 0.000325 0.000721 0.001431 0.002570 0.004433
2025-12-14 0.000035 0.000121 0.000313 0.000711 0.001436 0.002612 0.004552